Culling or Replacement of dairy cows in herds based on the expected future values

Reza Seyedsharifi; Jamal Seifdavati; Bahram Fathi Achachlouei

2016 Volume 3 Issue 3

Culling or Replacement of dairy cows in herds based on the expected future values

Reza Seyedsharifi, Jamal Seifdavati, Bahram Fathi Achachlouei

Abstract

The basis for deciding to replace a dairy cow that produces several lactation periods in cattle, with a heifer that has recently experienced its first calving, is the comparison of the present values of these two cases. In order to estimate the expected statistics under the optimized policy, Markov chain simulation as a dynamic programming was used. The objective function was to maximize the present net value of cows in a planning horizon with 10 lactation periods. It was observed that with increasing the calving interval, the future value is less produced from the ideal condition that originates from increasing the probability of involuntary culling that intensifies with age. Meanwhile, according to the results, with cow growth, its future value decreases. Therefore, it can be said that future value changes with age, production level, and lactation period.

Keywords: present value, future value, replacement and culling, dynamic programming, dairy cow

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Entomology and Applied Science Letters is an international double-blind peer reviewed publication which publishes scientific research & review articles related to insects that contain information of interest to a wider audience, e.g. papers bearing on the theoretical, genetic, agricultural, medical and biodiversity issues. Emphasis is also placed on the selection of comprehensive, revisionary or integrated systematics studies of broader biological or zoogeographical relevance. In addition to full-length research articles and reviews, the journal publishes interpretive articles in a Forum section, Short Communications, and Letters to the Editor. The journal publishes reports on all phases of medical entomology and medical acarology, including the systematics and biology of insects, acarines, and other arthropods of public health and veterinary significance.

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Entomology and Applied Science Letters supports the submission of entomological papers that contain information of interest to a wider reader groups e. g. papers bearing on taxonomy, phylogeny, biodiversity, ecology, systematic, agriculture, morphology. The selection of comprehensive, revisionary or integrated systematics studies of broader biological or zoogeographical relevance is also important. Distinguished entomologists drawn from different parts of the world serve as honorary members of the Editorial Board. The journal encompasses all the varied aspects of entomological research.